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    Click above to watch a SYS-CON Power Panel discussion on Web 2.0, Ajax, and SOA with Dion Hinchcliffe, Jeremy Geelan, and other industry notables including SOA Web Services Journal Editor-in-Chief, Sean Rhody. Taped on Dec 7th, 2005 from the Reuter's TV studio in Times Square.

     

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    Profitably Running an Online Business in the Web 2.0 Era

    posted Wednesday, 29 November 2006

    One of the things I'm doing this week is preparing for a presentation at Web Builder 2.0 on how to monetize mashups in Las Vegas next week.  Consequently, I've been pulling together notes, talking to mashup creators, and studying real-world examples of how companies are applying innovative ways of generating revenue with Web 2.0 applications and open APIs.  Though there are all sorts of interesting emerging stories, such as the new Second Life millionaire, product developers are increasingly trying to explore the options beyond the obvious: namely big value acquisitions ala YouTube or the often fickle, if mostly workable, online advertising route.   But the biggest question that comes up is that if you let your users generate most of your content and then expose it all up via an API, how can a profitable business be made from this?

    Generating Revenue in the Web 2.0 Era

    This has been the question from the outset, and though you can build enormously successful sites in terms of numbers of users and amounts of content using Web 2.0 techniques, the best means of monetizing this remain a larger unproven endeavor.  I wrote a while back on the struggle to monetize Web 2.0 where I explored in detail the strategic and tactical methods for making next generation Web sites financially viable, even successful.

    If you refer to my original article on monetizing Web 2.0, I identified three tactical means for generating revenue (advertising, subscriptions, and commissions) and a series of strategies that can support them.  While it's usually fairly clear how the direct revenue models work, it's usually less clear to people how the indirect strategies can directly influence the opportunities.

    Strategies for Making the Most from Web 2.0 

      • There are direct (the 3 items above) and numerous indirect ways to monetize Web 2.0 that often go unappreciated
      • Some of the indirect ways which lead to revenue growth, user growth, and increased resistance to competition -- which in turn lead to increased subscriptions, advertising, and commission revenue -- are:
        • Strategic Acquisition: Identifying and acquiring Web 2.0 companies on the exponential growth curve before the rest of the market realizes what it's worth (early exploitation of someone else's network effects.)
        • Maintaining control of hard to recreate data sources.  This is basically turning walled gardens into fenced gardens:  Let users access everything, but not let them keep it, such as Google providing access to their search index only over the Web.
        • Building Attention Trust - By being patently fair with customer data and leveraging user's loyalty, you can get them to share more information about themselves that in turns leads to much better products and services tailored to them.
        • Turning Applications into Platforms: One single use of an application is simply a waste of software.  Turn applications into platforms and get 5, 50, or 5,000 additional uses (Amazon has over 50,000 users of its line of business APIs) for example.  Online platforms are actually very easy to monetize but having compelling content or services first is a prerequisite.
        • Fully Automated Online Customer Self-Service: Let users get what they want, when they want it, without help.  Seems easy but almost all companies have people in the loop to manage the edge-cases.  Unfortunately, edge cases represent the The Long Tail of customer service.  This is hard but in the end provides goods and services with much tighter feedback loops.  And it's also a mandatory prerequisite for cost effectively serving mass micromarkets.  In other words, you can't directly monetize The Long Tail without this.

    Lying directly in the primary tenets of Web 2.0 however, are a series of two-edged issues from a revenue perspective.  Though the concepts and ideas are powerful when applied appropriately, they can also pose significant short-term and long-term challenges.  Below are the basic principles of Web 2.0 along with the positive and negative revenue implications for most companies on the Web today, even ones that aren't fully embracing it yet.

     Revenue Implications for Web 2.0 Principles (not meant to be exhaustive)

    • Principle 1: Web as Platform
      • Upside:  Revenue scalability (1 billion users on the Web), rapid growth potential and reach through exploitation of network effects
      • Downside: Competition is only a URL away, often requiring significant investment in differentiation
    • Principle 2: Software Above a Single Device
      • Upside: More opportunities to deliver products and services to users in more situations
      • Downside: Upfront costs, more infrastructure, more development/testing/support (costs) to deliver products across multiple devices
    • Principle 3: Data is the Next "Intel Inside"
      • Upside: Customer loyalty and even lock-in
      • Downside:  Lack of competitive pressure leading to complacency, long-term potential antitrust issues
    • Principle 4: Lightweight Programming & Business Models
    • Principle 5: Rich User Experiences
      • Upside: More productive and satisfied users, competitive advantage
      • Downside: Higher cost of development, potentially lower new user discoverability and adoption
    • Principle 6: Harnessing Collective Intelligence
      • Upside: Much lower costs of production, higher rate of innovation, dramatically larger overall content output
      • Downside: Lower level of direct control, governance issues (increased dependence on user base), content management issues, and legal exposure over IP
    • Principle 7: Leveraging The Long Tail
      • Upside: Cost-effectively reach thousands of small, previously unprofitable market segments resulting in overall customer growth
      • Downside: Upfront investment costs can be very significant, managing costs of customer service long-term

    While a great many startups are not generating revenue in huge quantities yet, the companies that have been diligently exploiting open APIs such as Amazon and Salesforce are in fact generating significant revenue and second order effects from opening up their platforms and being careful not to lose control.  This is actually a large discussion, and as large Web 2.0 sites continue to emerge, we'll continue to keep track of what the successful patterns and practices are.

    What other implications are there by putting users in control of content generation and opening everything up? 

    links: del.icio.us    



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    1. Peter Cranstone left...
    Thursday, 30 November 2006 9:54 am :: http://petercranstone.blogspot.com

    From a 50,000 foot level your analysis looks great. Can you drive it down to the 10 foot level. What I want to understand is following: 1) Who are the customers with the identifiable problem? 2) Can you make measurable, sustainable, profitable revenue from volume?

    In other words, lets start with a bottom up analysis. What's the problem we're solving for whom and can we make sustainable profits from that customer segment?

    Our company looked at Mashup's and came to the conclusion that we're only an API away from failing. The content provider can easily turn it off and our business would collapse. Worse still he holds us to ransom once we've started our business.

    You mention "that have been diligently exploiting open APIs such as Amazon and Salesforce are in fact generating significant revenue and second order effects from opening up their platforms and being careful not to lose control"... great, can you give concrete examples, market segments, problems they are solving and for whom and then lets analyze their sustainable, competitive advantage.

    Cheers,

    Peter


    2. Adrian left...
    Thursday, 30 November 2006 11:18 am :: http://perfcap.blogspot.com

    One area you do not discuss is the problem of identity and fraud. Once you have created something that has a high value and is being monetized it becomes an attractor for account takeover (ATO) and various kinds of manipulation to make a fast buck. For example, there was no economic reason to attempt ATO on a google account when it just gave access to gmail and a custom home page. When that Google account is upgraded to use Google checkout an ATO can get access to purchasing power. This is the reason that the phishing emails tend to target PayPal, and the big online banks. So the downside cost of revenue is that you have to invest in trust and safety mechanisms. The other problem of identity is that it is not centralized or verified, and having to create logins on all the components of a mash-up (as part of monetizing them) spreads identity too widely. Successful centralized identities are always going to attract attacks, so this is one of the architectural issues that web2.0 mash-ups will have to address as they move to monetization.


    3. a left...
    Wednesday, 13 December 2006 4:49 pm

    I don't think all web apps are powered by Intel.


    4. BillyWarhol left...
    Monday, 18 December 2006 1:14 am :: http://www.BillionDollarBaloney.blogspot

    Thanks for this interesting & timely article & for sharing it with us Dion!

    I'm gonna put my Money on the lowly Widget!!

    a great way to reach the Long Tail also take advantage of the fabulous wealth of Web2.0 API's along the way*

    I'm actually hoping whole New Economy's can be created around this to allow people all over the World to earn a decent honest Buck & hopefully more than just a proverbial cup of Starbucks Coffee!!

    Cheers! Billy ;))


    5. Sandro Paganotti left...
    Monday, 18 December 2006 4:10 am :: http://www.railsonwave.com

    Thanks for this post Dion. I found it really interesting :)


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    Friday, 22 December 2006 1:05 am :: http://www.world-wow-gold.com

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    7. cctech left...
    Thursday, 28 December 2006 3:30 pm

    Great post Dion. Maybe do a post sometime on the security issues with Web 2.0. Since most Web 2.0 apps are run through the end user's browser, the end user's computer is open to attack and an attack like that would bypass most corporate network security. That is one reason why we have not tried to tackle the Web 2.0 beast yet because we do not have a good answer for that. Thanks again for the post :).


    8. BD left...
    Monday, 1 January 2007 3:12 pm

    Looking to make a little money on the side or start your own business. How about selling products online without any startup capital required. You can start your own business for free. I did. I learned about www.cafepress.com/?pid=7458855 just a few weeks ago. It enables you to make designs and to sell your designs on T-shirts, hats, mugs, stickers and other items. The best part about it, is they make the products...you don't do anything other than to make the designs. It is free to set up a shop...then you just sit back and watch your products sell...you receive commissions on each sale! I am doing so well that I created a webpage just to help display and track all of the "shops" that I have opened. Feel free to check it out. www.geocities.com/cafepresslinks


    9. john beck left...
    Wednesday, 7 February 2007 2:17 am :: http://www.Johnbeck.tv

    Its usually less clear to peoples how the indirect strategies can direct influence the opputunities.http://www.Johnbeck.tv


    10. mr. closet organizers left...
    Wednesday, 23 May 2007 6:58 am :: http://vclosets.com

    I concur with the idea of expanding this discussion to include the impact of web security. The last few times my computer was attacked by adware was at open source sites. That has persuaded me not to return to those sites because the inconvenience was too high a price to pay.


    11. Aurelius Tjin left...
    Friday, 12 October 2007 9:12 am :: http://www.AureliusTjin.com

    Great post you got here! I like how its very informational and all streamlined.


    12. Jon Marks left...
    Monday, 31 March 2008 10:41 am :: http://www.jonmarks.com/attorney.html

    Glad you made a point to speak about The Long Tail. I have started implementing "long tail" strategies for my company s and results have been great. The traffic and leads that I am generating are much better than any of the one and two word keywords for which I rank.

    Thanks for a great article!

    Jon