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    Handicapping The Next Big Web 2.0 Sites for 2006

    posted Sunday, 13 August 2006
    It's getting near the end of the summer of 2006 and it's been a pretty amazing run-up this year for the world of Web 2.0 software.  MySpace and YouTube have made a tremendous mark on the industry as they showed the world what's possible with user generated content, viral growth, and the two-way Web.  MySpace and YouTube are currently at or near the very top of the traffic charts at this moment, even though they're only a couple of years old.  Richard MacManus further highlighted this trend a few days ago while referencing analysis that showed that the big Internet portals, such as Google and Yahoo!, were being closely followed by the top 10 social networking sites.

    Yes, it's clear that via social networking or otherwise, architectures of participation are the next big thing in online software because of their ability to flourish and become successful with enormous speed.  The big question, as I speculated recently, is whether MySpace and YouTube are just two quirks, or are they just the harbinger of a generation of new online social sites.  So, in the spirit of intellectual curiosity and unfettered inquiry, I did put together some research to see if we could discern some of the next big players in the Web 2.0 world.  Admittedly, this is a high-risk endeavor with a good chance of missing the target, but it highlights some interesting sites of nothing else, and a few of these clearly seem on a significant upswing.

    The criteria to make this list was 1) the site has to be a two-way Web application that primarily harnesses the collective intelligence of its users in some way, 2) it has to be on a steady traffic rise and used by 'ordinary' people mostly outside of the Web 2.0 community and, 3) was not clearly a previously known big name portal or social network still perceived to be a major up-and-comer.  The result is what you see below and I hope you enjoy it.  Finally, note this list  -- like all my popular Web 2.0 software lists -- is entirely of my own creation and any errors or omissions are entirely mine.  And please, no need to post comments about the subjectivity of Alexa traffic charts; that's a given.  A big thanks to Mark Scrimshire
    for helping me assemble some of this research.


    The Next Round of Potentially "Breakout" Web 2.0 Sites



    Fanpop's Alexa ChartSite:  fanpop.com



    Description: Fanpop is a brand-new social networking site that looks to have an impressive growth rate.  Fanpop's Alexa chart is almost vertical despite having just been launched at the beginning of August, a chart that looks an awful lot like Facebook's did early on. It'll be interesting to see if they can keep it up.   The site is squarely aimed at a younger audience interested in fandom subjects of all kinds including celebrities, news, trivia, and much more.  The thing that struck me most positively about Fanpop is that it's startlingly well designed and easy-to-use.  This is one of the essential ingredients for making a site maximally usable to users from all walks of life.  Ease of use also sustains viral propagation.  The sign up process smoothly walks you through an impressively simple, yet multistep process that makes the effort of signing up and creating your own Fanpop "spot" one of the best examples of the Lazy Registration pattern that I've yet seen.  Lots of Web 2.0 best practices abound on Fanpop and its traffic stats show it, including the top 100 posts of the day right on the main page.







    Zango's Alexa ChartSite: Zango

    Description: Zango is an interesting Web 2.0 site that touts its online games, advertising network, and use generated content.  But it's an intriguing yet strange blend of media and delivery approaches, and their site's main tagline says it best, "Zango offers a vast network of free ad-supported games, videos and downloads powered by proprietary and revolutionary time-shifted advertising technology. Zango allows users, publishers, content providers and advertisers to connect within one unique online community."  While Publish and Upload buttons are clearly prominent on the top of the site, it's unclear how much content is actually being contributed by users other than their attention.  Despite any questions about the Web 2.0 "purity" of the site, it's clearly growing steadily despite a bit of slowdown lately, but it's traffic charts continue show good day-in, day-out increases.  Overall, the site seems to have borrowed some from the MySpace playbook in terms of look-and-feel, though its means of viral distribution has come under scrutiny lately.







    Last.fm's Alexa ChartSite: Last.fm



    Description:
    I've been tracking last.fm for a while and many of you will be quite familiar with it.  Recently entering the top 500 sites on the entire Internet, last.fm's product has become progressively slicker and smoother in recent months.  At its core, Last.fm is an online radio station with a compulsive social dimension. Really, to even call it an online radio station is to do it a major disservice. Their music streaming application will "scrobble" up information about the tracks you play in the music player on your PC and then use this information to carefully tailor music selections for you. It's very Web 2.0-like in that the more you use the service the better it gets.  Like the other sites profiled here, last.fm seems to be growing steadily, its recent growth very likely having to do with some of the social sharing tools they make available to make your personal musical data available on MySpace, LiveJournal, and others.  This of course spreads awareness of last.fm virally on the major social networks.







    Bebo's Alexa ChartSite: Bebo

    Description
    :  Though it can seem like social networking sites are popping up everywhere, Bebo has been with us for a while and famously shunned a half-billion dollar acquisition deal while "only" barely making the cut for the top 400 sites in the world.  But what kind of social network is Bebo specifically?  The top menu of the site says it all and offers users to select  among Bands, Colleges, and other Schools.  Bebo offers the usual online social networking flair including the sharing of personal pages, videos, images, and even offers a friends location mashup with Google Maps from the main page.  Again, like many of these sites, the mystique can be hard to figure out for those of us not in high school or college, but certainly the demographic is quite good and their site traffic is clearly rising despite the school age set being on summer break at the moment.







    Friendster;s Alexa ChartSite:



    Description
    : Friendster has been with us for a while now and has famously waxed and waned over the last year or so.  Currently, Friendster is on a major upswing and currently ranks in the top 50 of all Internet sites, claiming over 30 million online profiles on the main page.  Like all successful social networking sites, Friendster makes sure the focus on people with a heavy emphasis on shared media, particularly pictures.  What's not as clear to me -- and hopefully one of you can share -- why it's currently undergoing is pretty significant resurgence.  A lot of the social sites I evaluated for this list were flat or declining, but Friendster has clearly recaptured its magic somehow. In any case, if it's current uptick continues, it could potentially enter the top 10 within the year.  The chart to the right is also different than the ones above and has a longer time period so you could see that Friendster has recently eclipsed its initial popularity peak in late 2004.







    Eurekster's Alexa ChartSite: Eurekster



    Description
    : Like Friendster, Eurekster was one of the original Web 2.0-style sites and these days it seems to be reaching a high level maturity.  Eurekster's main page does a good job demonstrating the amount of buzz and industry press they are receiving for their concept of vertical community Web search.  I've previously gotten quite a bit of traffic from Eurekster and so I know that people seem to be using it quite a bit.  Eurekster is organized around the concept of a search wiki or 'swicki' , that narrows and targets the search to that it's more relevant.  Sporting nearly 20,000 swickis, Eurekster seems to have reached a tipping point for growth and is beginning to get a good head of steam built up.  Will it be a Google disruptor?  It depends of course, but the the potential for doing just this is why it's on this list.







    TMZ's Alexa ChartSite: TMZ



    Description:
    I included TMZ.com purely as an outlier because it's a significant new player from AOL, has some good early traffic patterns, and will either flame-out soon or possibly really make it.  Right now it seems to be struggling for traffic but has done very well in recent weeks.  I included this as an example of older new media trying to launch new sites to capture the Web 2.0 spark, but the site clearly seems too editorially controlled despite the usual Most Commented lists, requests for stories, and user submission forms (which seem too hard to find.)  Is TMZ serious about network effects, capturing user contributions and making a name for itself?  It's not clear that it has the right ingredients and could make an excellent site to watch for how to make a Web 2.0 play after coming out of the gate with promise yet shaky legs.







    Popurl's Alexa ChartUpdated Sitepopurls.com



    Description
    Popurls was in my original research notes for this list but I've finally decided to add it after the releasing original post because it's visitor traffic and its leveraging of the Database of Intentions seems to warrant it.  Essentially a mashup of the Web's most popular meme filters of the day, Popurls is in a similar service space as my overall favorite collective intelligence news filter, TechMeme.  I've received varying levels of traffic from Popurls over the last few months and a tour of the site can show you why that might be; they have been aggressively expanding the content that they list on their main page to a great many credible sources on the Web. Fortunately, except for the case of del.icio.us/popular bookmarks, they are fair about it and route traffic to the news site they are aggregating, rather that directing them to underlying content.  And while Popurls does not directly collect content from users , it does leverage it indirectly, and its site organization and quality experience alone deserves its five-star rating from Alexa.









    One things I was surprised to see was the number of fairly well trafficked social networking sites, but a great many of them have fairly static or dropping traffic patterns.  So, in the spirit of Web 2.0, please submit your favorite ones below if you genuinely think they have breakout promise in the next year....




    Web 2.0 Up and Comers

    links: del.icio.us    



    AddThis Social Bookmark Button

    1. Search Engines Web left...
    Sunday, 13 August 2006 11:55 pm :: http://search-engines-web.com/

    www.othersonline.com

    This one is pretty impressive. A social Networking TOOLBAR - that aims to relate searchers to one another by the keywords and Websites they visit.

    Perfect way for Academic or professional researchers to network with those involved in a similar project

    There are several interesting comments on TechCrunch and Digg from users and engineers


    2. soniaheimer left...
    Sunday, 13 August 2006 11:55 pm

    PayScale is a fascinating 2.0 user created content play that allows employees to anonymously "talk" to their peers about about salary and benefits. The company has started a salary revolution - for the first time in history giving employees the power to contribute to and reap the benefits of a free, real-time salary data source that takes into consideration factors such as years experience, employer type and education. What makes PayScale unique? Instead of relying on slow government data and external surveys like other salary data sites, PayScale relies on their online survey content and has developed advanced methodologies for fuzzy matching, finding similar profiles and turning user created content into statistically valid data. And you thought friendster was cool? PayScale not only tells you what you make, but what your friends make too. It's breaking American communications taboos by letting us talk about money without ever opening our mouths.


    3. Anatoly left...
    Monday, 14 August 2006 5:52 am

    I personally like some new startups like PrefPass, VeoTag. Qube v2, until now was a usable app, but now they seem to have a viable business model coming too. Besides that, I think, Plum has a lot of potential too.

    Web 2.0 is getting very interesting. :-)


    4. Dawn Foster left...
    Monday, 14 August 2006 11:27 am :: http://opensourceculture.blogspot.com/

    I would add Netvibes to the list. I especially like being able to post my RSS feed tabs on Netvibes and share links to the tabs via my blog allowing others to read the blogs / news that I read. Netvibes traffic also seems to be on an upswing.


    5. The Rub left...
    Monday, 14 August 2006 2:19 pm :: http://www.therubofclubs.com

    We're getting to the point in development that will see the SNS winners emerge - just a handful of sites that are accepted as the gold standard. The real innovations will be all the intra-network mashups, inter-network bridges, and a whole bunch of peripheral services that individualize user experiences on these huge sites. For example Last.fm's best hope is in closely integrating with Myspace, Cyworld, and Bebo.

    It seems like this is going to be less about the service, and more about the protocol. The common ground.


    6. zango? left...
    Monday, 14 August 2006 8:02 pm

    Zango has come under a lot more than "scrutiny." They face a consumer class action, a major complaint to the FTC, and widespread user dissatisfaction. In short, Zango makes spyware -- software that tracks where users go, and that shows annoying full-screen pop-ups. Who wants that? Surely it's not really "the next big thing."


    7. ME left...
    Tuesday, 15 August 2006 3:02 am

    look at www.seekingalpha.com, finance focused


    8. LinkNSurf left...
    Thursday, 17 August 2006 5:51 am

    LinkNSurf(www.linknsurf.com) is a mobile community that lets you stay updated with your favorite stuff from the web and easily share that with your self created network all from your phone


    9. Bri left...
    Thursday, 17 August 2006 6:58 pm :: http://www.socialmeter.com/

    Hi Dion,

    Check out socialmeter.com - it's a Web 2.0 up and commer.


    10. BDegan left...
    Friday, 18 August 2006 10:34 am :: http://www.peekyou.com

    http://www.peekyou.com is about launch but it curently up and running. Check it out.


    11. Dave left...
    Friday, 18 August 2006 3:03 pm :: http://www.livelocker.com

    A great social media bookmarking site -- http://www.livelocker.com


    12. Joe left...
    Sunday, 20 August 2006 3:20 am

    Hi Dion,

    www.MyChurch.org - social networking for churches. It will launch in September but the initial Alpha feedback from church leaders and pastors has been tremendous. Communities where regular face-to-face interactions occur are the most conducive to extending that network online. Between Sundays, so to speak.

    Facebook successfully serves college campuses with this principle. But unlike colleges and universities, churches actually do want to have a more visible web presence through the social networks of their congregants.

    And unlike every other Web 2.0 site relying on revenue streams through ads, Mychurch.org will purely be subscription-based (with a free option as well).


    13. foible left...
    Sunday, 20 August 2006 1:18 pm :: http://foiblesfollies.blogspot.com/

    I'll hazard a guess as to why Friendster has experienced such a significant uptick in traffic in 2006: the "Who's Viewed Me" feature. The ability to see who's looked at your page (users can turn this feature off if they want) is something that MySpace lacks. You can't help but be curious about who's viewed your profile recently -- it plays right into our vanity. :)


    14. Anonymous left...
    Wednesday, 23 August 2006 9:48 am

    Have a look at www.pandora.com - interesting customizable-adaptive concept for listening to and discovering new music.


    15. Anonymous left...
    Wednesday, 23 August 2006 9:49 am

    I would add www.linkedin.com as a site with a lot of growth potential. Example: Large numbers of folks from HP are flocking to this site with the pending layoffs.


    16. Yori left...
    Wednesday, 23 August 2006 12:28 pm

    Check out our www.timebridge.com - a business oriented web 2.0 personal scheduling manager


    17. frankvandebergh left...
    Sunday, 27 August 2006 7:48 am

    AlbumConnect is one of the coolest new photo services, cause they have a WYSIWYG-style photo album editor. Check them out.. www.albumconnect.com


    18. south left...
    Monday, 28 August 2006 2:44 am

    see web2.0 finance site http://www.gstock.com it uses distributed computing (style seti@home) to try and find profitable investment strategies


    19. Marcos Silva left...
    Monday, 28 August 2006 11:15 am

    There's another very nice web 2.0 start page is http://www.pageflakes.com really interesting with different features. It's a nice suggestion.


    20. Adam left...
    Wednesday, 6 September 2006 12:04 pm

    I really like the tools ATTAP - All Things To All People: http://attap.com are developing, particularly Riffs: http://www.riffs.com/


    21. Sean Hudson left...
    Thursday, 7 September 2006 1:42 pm :: http://thoos.com

    There are lots of niche social sites popping up these days and this one, I think, covers a segment that other have missed. http://thoos.com

    Thoos is a social site dedicated to outdoor athletes and weekend warriors. It covers topics like climbing, cycling, hiking, fly fishing, paddling, paragliding, running, skiing, and surfing. With lots of cool feature that allow outdoor sports enthusiasts get together and share experiences.


    22. Steve Kleine left...
    Thursday, 7 September 2006 8:26 pm

    Hi Dion, As an alternative to FaceBook, considering the current revolt, check out www.xuqa.com. Liz Gannes at GigaOM blogged about it here:

    http://software.gigaom.com/2006/08/15/xuqa-its-all-a-game/

    They have started their survey and promotional programs and plan to be the first profitable social network in the world at the end of the month. In the past three weeks they have grown 30% and are now seeing more page views than FaceBook. Ping me if you want more details. Steve


    23. tedK left...
    Friday, 15 September 2006 10:11 am

    I agree with PeekYou.com being on this list.


    24. solojord left...
    Friday, 22 September 2006 3:01 pm

    I second the comment on <a href="http://www.othersonline.com" target="another">Others Online</a>. It's a VERY unique approach, but the reason I think it will do so well is because it gives any online user more exposure on the Web.

    For instance, if I were a breeder of Labradoodles (dogs) then I could add my profile to Others Online and associate myself to related keywords (labradoodles, labrador, poodle, etc.). Whenever anyone goes to any page on the Web where one or more of those keywords show up in the content (a content page or a search engine results page), then my profile will show up to that user. I just think that's a pretty cool idea, when so many people on the Web are starving for more attention.

    I also think Zango should not be on this list. This is Spyware!! Look up the name of the company previously on Google -- 180Solutions.


    25. jamin left...
    Monday, 2 October 2006 6:07 pm

    Perhaps rezpublica.com will be on the 2007 list, a republic of social channel, a new kind of community with yahoo answers and meetup features with an intersting expert algorithm. To watch


    26. milo317 left...
    Tuesday, 3 October 2006 10:39 am :: http://milo.peety-passion.com

    Original signal with their various data/pages are very good starter for news and or jobs. http://www.originalsignal.com/


    27. Eric left...
    Tuesday, 17 October 2006 11:09 pm

    College students check out FreezeCrowd, a unique social networking site for the college audience. Break the ice with FreezeCrowd! Some of our core values come from the acronym ICE which stands for Interactivity, Customizable, and Educational. When you add the D, it's Different. Check us out! www.freezecrowd.com


    28. Mandrew left...
    Wednesday, 18 October 2006 6:53 pm

    http://snoozester.com


    29. Worldengine left...
    Saturday, 28 October 2006 4:00 pm

    Stock portfolio investing in a simulated stock market environment. Invest in Yourself

    http://portfoliolink.com


    30. Site aims to unite world via com left...
    Sunday, 29 October 2006 2:19 am

    Check out http://www.hobeez.com


    31. noah greer left...
    Monday, 30 October 2006 12:28 am :: http://www.myspace.com/modern_hero

    please visit http://www.goape.us

    for checking out music and sharing tunes online through our slick multifunction flash audio player. users can upload their own music or search our database of thousands of songs to build a playlist, then simply paste the code into any blog. we will deploy our customized radio for you. also browse and lsten to thousands of songs on our site. enjoy.


    32. noah greer left...
    Monday, 30 October 2006 12:39 am :: http://www.goape.us

    please visit http://www.goape.us

    for checking out music and sharing tunes online through our slick multifunction flash audio player. users can upload their own music or search our database of thousands of songs to build a playlist, then simply paste the code into any blog. we will deploy our customized radio for you. also browse and lsten to thousands of songs on our site. enjoy.


    33. JA left...
    Monday, 30 October 2006 4:08 pm

    I used to use eteamz to manage a football team I was coaching. Little did I know a sleeker, 'fee-er' web 2.0 version was gonna come out. Check out http://www.hometeammanager.com


    34. yyy111 left...
    Wednesday, 1 November 2006 10:30 pm

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    Just a general observation that web 2.0 and social sites seem to be creating a parallel internet in some ways. Reminds me of the growth of search engines and directories in the early days when the web was splintering and diversifying with groups and individuals scrambling to stake their claim on some virtual green.


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    80. tavla left...
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    Sunday, 18 February 2007 2:34 pm

    http://www.votesexy.co.uk is going to be huge!


    82. sohbet left...
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    102. howie left...
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    Find the music you wish you had on www.sonicswap.com. Easily build a profile of your music collection from iTunes, display dynamic playlists of what you recently played. Post what you are playing on your blog and myspace accounts. Best of all, find music in your friends collections that you want and add it to your wishlist. See what they are playing right now and what they recently purchased.


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    108. Vesaire left...
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    114. newkon left...
    Thursday, 17 May 2007 6:54 am :: http://www.cellotin.com

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    115. Nate left...
    Friday, 18 May 2007 9:38 pm :: http://www.textlinksellers.info

    Web 2.0 is going to spread like wild fire. User friendly features with great graphics are attractive. Community focused interaction is the way to go in this new Internet era. Great post.


    116. Jason left...
    Friday, 18 May 2007 9:45 pm :: http://www.xtremelinkbidding.com

    Web 2.0 rocks! Just look at the features for it.

    A Web 2.0 website usually have:

    • Rich Internet application techniques, optionally Ajax-based

    • CSS

    • Semantically valid XHTML markup and the use of Microformats

    • Syndication and aggregation of data in RSS/Atom

    • Clean and meaningful URLs

    • Extensive use of folksonomies (in the form of tags or tagclouds, for example)

    • Use of wiki software either completely or partially (where partial use may grow to become the complete platform for the site)

    • Use of Open source software either completely or partially, such as the LAMP solution stack

    • XACML over SOAP for access control between organisations and domains

    • Weblog publishing

    • Mashups

    • REST or XML Webservice APIs

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    118. komedi left...
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    119. evden eve nakliyat left...
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    120. Oyun left...
    Sunday, 19 August 2007 5:30 am :: http://www.oyunara.net

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    130. tatil left...
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